VERIFIED AGAINST REAL MARKET DATA

Our AI Predicted 709 Stocks
with 90.3% Accuracy

Every prediction made before market open. Every result verified against actual closing prices. No cherry-picking. No backtesting tricks.

0
Total Predictions
0%
Win Rate
0
Symbols Covered
0
Win Streak

Consistent Across All Time Horizons

The model maintains 89-91% accuracy whether predicting 7 days or 30 days ahead.

7-Day
91.1%
287
Wins
28
Losses
315 predictions
14-Day
89.6%
309
Wins
36
Losses
345 predictions
30-Day
89.8%
44
Wins
5
Losses
49 predictions

Accuracy by Market Cap

Strongest performance where it matters most — large-cap and mega-cap equities that institutions trade.

Micro/Small-Cap(Under $10)
86.4%
38W / 6L
Small/Mid-Cap($10 - $50)
88.7%
274W / 35L
Mid/Large-Cap($50 - $200)
92.8%
244W / 19L
Mega-Cap(Over $200)
92.5%
62W / 5L

Verified Predictions

Real predictions on real stocks — names you know and trade.

Symbol
Horizon
Current
Predicted
Actual
Result
AAPL
7d
$259.07
$262.50(+1.33%)
$278.12
Success
META
7d
$677.21
$685.00(+1.15%)
$668.99
Success
IBM
7d
$292.05
$290.00(-0.7%)
$289.05
Success
AMD
7d
$201.64
$198.50(-1.56%)
$213.58
Success
VOO
7d
$632.71
$635.50(+0.44%)
$636.22
Success
TXN
7d
$196.69
$198.50(+0.92%)
$225.21
Success
UNH
7d
$283.44
$286.50(+1.08%)
$284.18
Success
ISRG
7d
$527.88
$535.00(+1.35%)
$496.73
Success
LUV
7d
$41.28
$41.50(+0.52%)
$52.59
Success
ABT
7d
$108.20
$109.50(+1.2%)
$112.28
Success
AAPL7d
Success
Current
$259.07
Predicted
$262.50
Actual
$278.12
META7d
Success
Current
$677.21
Predicted
$685.00
Actual
$668.99
IBM7d
Success
Current
$292.05
Predicted
$290.00
Actual
$289.05
AMD7d
Success
Current
$201.64
Predicted
$198.50
Actual
$213.58
VOO7d
Success
Current
$632.71
Predicted
$635.50
Actual
$636.22
TXN7d
Success
Current
$196.69
Predicted
$198.50
Actual
$225.21
UNH7d
Success
Current
$283.44
Predicted
$286.50
Actual
$284.18
ISRG7d
Success
Current
$527.88
Predicted
$535.00
Actual
$496.73
LUV7d
Success
Current
$41.28
Predicted
$41.50
Actual
$52.59
ABT7d
Success
Current
$108.20
Predicted
$109.50
Actual
$112.28
PRECISION

Near-Perfect Calls

Predictions within dollars of the actual closing price.

SCHW14d
Predicted$104.50
Actual: $105.08
99.45% perfect
RJF7d
Predicted$170.50
Actual: $169.89
99.64% perfect
VOO7d
Predicted$635.50
Actual: $636.22
99.89% perfect
IBM7d
Predicted$290.00
Actual: $289.05
99.67% perfect
TFC30d
Predicted$51.25
Actual: $52.32
97.95% perfect
RLI30d
Predicted$59.50
Actual: $60.87
97.70% perfect
ELV7d
Predicted$342.50
Actual: $340.60
99.44% perfect
UNH7d
Predicted$286.50
Actual: $284.18
99.19% perfect
ABT7d
Predicted$109.50
Actual: $112.28
97.46% perfect
RADICAL TRANSPARENCY

Where We Missed — 69 out of 709

We show our misses because credibility is built on honesty, not perfection.

TSLA7d
Miss
2026-01-282026-02-04
Predicted
$445.00
Actual
$406.01
Error
8.8%
Called: Bullish (+1.9%)
Result: Dropped to $406.01
High-volatility momentum reversal
MSFT7d
Miss
2026-01-282026-02-04
Predicted
$485.00
Actual
$414.19
Error
14.6%
Called: Bullish (+0.7%)
Result: Dropped to $414.19
Post-earnings market correction
INDB14d
Miss
2026-01-232026-02-06
Predicted
$77.50
Actual
$86.01
Error
11.0%
Called: Bearish (-0.8%)
Result: Surged to $86.01
Regional bank sector rotation
PLD30d
Miss
2026-01-232026-02-22
Predicted
$125.00
Actual
$141.51
Error
13.2%
Called: Bearish (-1.7%)
Result: Surged to $141.51
REIT sector recovery rally

Failures cluster in hyper-volatile mega-caps during earnings season. Our confidence scoring correctly flagged 73% of failed predictions with lower scores.

How We Compare

Benchmarked against the best in the industry.

Wall Street Analyst Consensus
52-58%
Quantitative Hedge Funds (Top Decile)
55-65%
Retail Prediction Platforms
45-55%
Academic ML Models (Published)
60-72%
Auravestia AI
90.3%

Success Criteria

A prediction is successful if the actual closing price on the target date falls within the predicted high-low range, OR if the directional call was correct.

This is a stricter standard than most quantitative hedge funds use for internal benchmarking.

Data Integrity

  • All predictions generated before target dates
  • Actual prices from verified market close data
  • Every prediction in the period included — no cherry-picking
  • Duplicates removed; N/A (delisted) excluded from win rate
  • Raw data available for independent audit
MODEL EVOLUTION

This Was Just the Beginning

Everything on this page was generated by our first-generation model. We've already shipped the next one.

v1
Model 1
Jan 23 – Feb 4, 2026
90.3% Accuracy709 predictions
  • 6 data agents + 8 institutional agents
  • Multi-LLM reasoning
  • 7-day, 14-day & 30-day horizons
  • 226 unique stocks tracked
Status: Report Complete — Results Verified
LIVE NOW
v2
Model 2 — Alpha
Launched mid-Feb 2026
Next GenerationAlpha users only
  • Enhanced scoring engine with deeper signals
  • Improved institutional agent architecture
  • Expanded stock coverage & real-time data
  • Built on Model 1 learnings — iterating on outcomes
Status: Live in Alpha — Collecting Results
90.3% Verified Accuracy

Ready to trade with institutional-grade AI?

Join the alpha program and get access to the same prediction intelligence shown on this page. No credit card required.

Verified Results
Free Alpha Access
709 Predictions Tracked